Viewing cable 08DJIBOUTI380, DJIBOUTI FM REPORTS TALKS UNDERWAY WITH ERITREA TO
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VZCZCXRO2806
PP RUEHDE RUEHROV RUEHTRO
DE RUEHDJ #0380/01 1111711
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
P 201711Z APR 08
FM AMEMBASSY DJIBOUTI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9169
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUCNSOM/SOMALIA COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHAE/AMEMBASSY ASMARA PRIORITY 2282
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
Sunday, 20 April 2008, 17:11
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 DJIBOUTI 000380
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT FOR AF, AF/E, AND INR/AA
CJTF-HOA FOR POLAD
LONDON, PARIS, ROME FOR AFRICA-WATCHER
EO 12958 DECL: 04/20/2032
TAGS PREL, MOPS, PBTS, DJ, ER, ET
SUBJECT: DJIBOUTI FM REPORTS TALKS UNDERWAY WITH ERITREA TO
DEFUSE BORDER INCIDENT
REF: A. DJIBOUTI 378 B. DJIBOUTI 377
Classified By: ERIC WONG, CHARGE D’AFFAIRES, A.I.
¶1. (S) SUMMARY. On April 20, senior Djiboutian officials--
including Djibouti’s defense minister, intelligence chief,
and deputy CHOD--were involved in talks with Eritrean
military officials in an attempt to defuse tensions arising
from Eritrea’s establishment of a military outpost on
disputed territory at Ras Doumeira, along the Bab al Mandab
strait. According to Djibouti’s foreign minister, the
GODJ sought to use “quiet diplomacy” to press Eritrea,
although it believed that Eritrean President Isaias was
unpredictable, as evidenced by Eritrea’s 1994 attack on
a Djiboutian outpost at the same area. Foreign Minister
Youssouf reports that Isaias opposes Djiboutian efforts
to broker discussions between Somalia’s Transitional
Federal Government (TFG) and the Alliance for the
Re-Liberation of Somalia (ARS), and that Isaias also
suspects that routine U.S. military exercises in
Djibouti are aimed at gathering intelligence for
Ethiopia. Youssouf said Djibouti would welcome
participating in the International Contact Group on
Somalia, and planned to meet with visiting UN SRSG
for Somalia Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah later in the week.
END SUMMARY.
¶2. (S) On April 20, Charge and GRPO met with Djiboutian
Foreign Minister Mahmoud Ali Youssouf to discuss the
GODJ’s April 17 complaint that Eritrea had established
a military outpost on Djiboutian territory at Doumeira
(ref A). Charge and GRPO were accompanied by two
representatives of the Combined Joint Task Force-Horn
of Africa (CJTF-HOA): Embassy Djibouti Country Coordination
Element (CCE) CDR James Dickie, and CJTF-HOA Director
of Intelligence (CJ-2) CAPT Kevin Frank.
--------------------------------------------- -------
FRENCH IMAGERY SHOWS STRUCTURE ON DISPUTED TERRITORY
--------------------------------------------- -------
¶3. (S) FM Youssouf presented low-resolution color
photographs of Ras Doumeira dated the afternoon of
April 17, which he said had been provided by French
authorities. The photos show a manned structure and
several trucks at the base of a mountain; according to
FM Youssouf, the structure is an Eritrean military post
constructed recently on “no man’s land” along the
easternmost portion of the border between Djibouti and
Eritrea, along the Bab al Mandab strait.
¶4. (S) While Eritrean forces had “pulled back” on the
evening of April 19, FM Youssouf expressed concern that
an estimated 3,000 Eritrean troops were along the Eritrean
border with Djibouti, concentrated along three axes: from
Eritrea to the Djiboutian border towns of Daddato, Sidiha
Menguela, and Bissidourou. In addition to the post at Ras
Doumeira, Eritrean forces had also recently built a coastal
road from the port of Assab to Doumeira, and had begun to
reclaim the waterfront, in an apparent attempt to construct
some sort of port facility, he said.
-----------------------------------
MIL-MIL TALKS UNDERWAY WITH ERITREA
-----------------------------------
¶5. (S) In response to this “belligerent act,” Youssouf
said the GODJ had strengthened its military presence at
its base at Moulhoule (15 km south of Doumeira). In addition,
the GODJ had dispatched a delegation on the morning of
April 20 to Moulhoule, in order to discuss the incursion
with Eritrean officials. According to FM Youssouf, GODJ
representatives included Deputy Chief of the Djiboutian
Armed Forces Brigadier General Zakaria Cheick Ibrahim,
National Security Service (NSS) Director Hassan Said
Khaireh, and Defense Minister Ogoureh Kiffleh Ahmed.
FM Youssouf said he had also been in direct contact
personally with the Eritrean Navy Commander, Major
General Karikare Ahmed Mohammed, whom he believed
had some influence on Eritrean President Isaias.
FM Youssouf also planned to engage the secretary-general
of Eritrea’s foreign ministry, who was expected to
transit Djibouti airport (from Dubai) on the evening
of April 20.
¶6. (S) To satisfy the GODJ’s concerns, Eritrean forces
needed to withdraw at least 1 km away from the demarcated
border at
DJIBOUTI 00000380 002 OF 002
Mt. Doumeira, Youssouf said; adding that international
law required pulling back to 5 km from the border.
¶7. (S) FM Youssouf noted that the GODJ sought to utilize
“quiet diplomacy” to defuse the situation, and had not
yet issued any public statements on the recent Eritrean
incursion. However, he noted that the 1994 incident,
which had involved an exchange of gunfire between Eritrean
and Djiboutian forces at Ras Doumeira, reached a denouement
only when Djibouti protested to the United Nations, the
Arab League, and the African Union. Djibouti subsequently
demarcated the border, while Eritrea issued a map with
altered boundaries for propaganda purposes.
--------------------------------------------- ----------
ISAIAS “A LUNATIC”; SUSPICIOUS OF ETHIOPIA AND THE U.S.
--------------------------------------------- ----------
¶8. (S) The Eritrean government (GSE) was “very unpredictable,
” Youssouf said. He underscored that Eritrean troops had
previously attacked a Djiboutian outpost at Ras Doumeira
in 1994, at the same time that the Eritrean foreign minister
was visiting the capital of Djibouti. Thus, according to
Youssouf, Isaias had blindsided his own foreign minister.
“This man is a lunatic,” opined Youssouf, adding, “you
can’t pick your neighbors.” Youssouf noted the scarcity
of food and consumer goods in Eritrea, caused by its
“monopolistic, communist” state. As “waves of refugees”
already crossed Djibouti’s porous borders from Somalia,
Djibouti could ill afford additional refugees from conflict
between Ethiopia and Eritrea.
¶9. (S) Youssouf said President Isaias had complained, at
the last EU-Africa summit in Lisbon, that there was “no
terrorism in Djibouti.” Isaias was deeply suspicious of
Djiboutian cooperation with the United States, claiming
even to have information on USG renditions involving Djibouti,
Youssouf said. More recently, GSE officials had expressed
concern about both U.S. military exercises in Djibouti and
also alleged Ethiopian plans to attack Assab from Bure and
to definitively remove Isaias from power. The GSE had asserted
that recent U.S. military exercises in northern Djibouti
(ref A) were not intended to combat terror, but rather were
intended to collect information for Ethiopia, Youssouf said.
Youssouf highlighted that the GODJ was “happy” with the U.S.
presence in Djibouti, and would continue to support the
United States.
--------------------------------------------- -------
ERITREA OPPOSED TO DJIBOUTIAN-BROKERED SOMALIA TALKS
--------------------------------------------- -------
¶10. (S) Recent business talks relating to the possible
construction of a massive bridge linking Yemen to Djibouti
had heightened GSE interest in Doumeira. The GSE opposed
Djibouti’s ongoing efforts to broker discussions between
Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and the
Alliance for the Re-Liberation of Somalia (ARS) (ref B),
Youssouf said, as the GSE sought to keep Ethiopia preoccupied
in Somalia, and thus to fracture the Ethiopian military into
3-4 fronts. Youssouf said Djibouti would welcome participating
in the International Contact Group on Somalia, and planned
to meet with visiting UN SRSG for Somalia Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah
later in the week.
¶11. (S) COMMENT. FM Youssouf noted that no public statements
from the USG were needed yet, as Djibouti sought to press
Eritrea through “quiet diplomacy.” Should these talks fail,
however, the international community will have to weigh
what actions, if any, would be effective in reversing the
Eritrean incursion. The recent withdrawal of UN peacekeeping
forces from the Temporary Security Zone, following more
than two years of increasing restrictions on the UN Mission
in Ethiopia and Eritrea (UNMEE), highlight the GSE’s
intransigence in the face of international pressure.
END COMMENT. WONG
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